On the behavior of Bayesian credible intervals for some restricted parameter space problems

نویسندگان

  • Éric Marchand
  • William E. Strawderman
چکیده

For estimating a positive normal mean, Zhang and Woodroofe (2003) as well as Roe and Woodroofe (2000) investigate 100(1 − α)% HPD credible sets associated with priors obtained as the truncation of noninformative priors onto the restricted parameter space. Namely, they establish the attractive lower bound of 1−α 1+α for the frequentist coverage probability of these procedures. In this work, we establish that the lower bound of 1−α 1+α is applicable for a substantially more general setting with underlying distributional symmetry, and obtain various other properties. The derivations are unified and are driven by the choice of a right Haar invariant prior. Investigations of non-symmetric models are carried out and similar results are obtained. Namely, (i) we show that the lower bound 1−α 1+α still applies for certain types of asymmetry (or skewness), and (ii) we extend results obtained by Zhang and Woodroofe (2002) for estimating the scale parameter of a Fisher distribution; which arises in estimating the ratio of variance components in a one-way balanced random effects ANOVA. Finally, various examples illustrating the wide scope of applications are expanded upon. Examples include estimating parameters in location models and location-scale models, estimating scale parameters in scale models, estimating linear combinations of location parameters such as differences, estimating ratios of scale parameters, and problems with non-independent observations.

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تاریخ انتشار 2006